On May 23-24, 2024, China’s military conducted a large-scale military exercise called Joint Sword-2024A. After the exercise, the Eastern Theatre Command of the Chinese military released a video simulation of an amphibious attack on Taiwan. This has reignited discussions about the increasing tensions between China and Taiwan.
The simulated videos released by the Eastern Theatre Command are part of an information warfare campaign designed to intimidate. These videos aim to appeal to Chinese nationalists, show China’s firm stance on national unity, retaliate against Taiwan, sow divisions within Taiwanese society, and warn other countries against supporting Taiwan.
One notable feature of the recent video is the labeling of Hualien as a target. Hualien, in eastern Taiwan, has traditionally been a challenging target for the Chinese military due to natural barriers. Taiwan’s military strategy includes relocating its air force to key bases to preserve combat capabilities for a counterattack if needed.
China’s military threats, whether through simulations, official statements, or exercises, have become a common tactic in recent years. China uses military actions in response to international gestures of support towards Taiwan. The Chinese military’s reactions to visits from US officials reflect China’s strategic approach.
China’s military expansion is justified as a response to exchanges between Taiwan and the US. However, these actions are part of a broader strategic plan outlined in China’s 2019 white paper on National Defense in the New Era. China aims to project power into the western Pacific Ocean and organize patrols in the East China Sea.
The United States has taken steps to counter the Chinese military threat by supporting Taiwan through arms sales, military exchanges, and cooperation. The US has also increased its regional presence in the Indo-Pacific region to counter China’s assertiveness. Many countries stress the importance of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, opposing China’s military activities.
Despite China’s military intimidation, Taiwanese society has grown accustomed to these activities, causing minimal disruption to daily life. However, there is a risk of desensitization, which could make society indifferent to potential threats. The success of China’s military intimidation strategy against Taiwan depends on concrete actions and strategic decisions.
The incident of a Chinese fishing boat capsizing near Taiwan’s Kinmen Island in February 2024 has led to increased enforcement activities by the China Coast Guard around Taiwan. This has escalated tensions and marked a new phase in China’s information warfare campaign.
In conclusion, the ongoing tensions between China and Taiwan are a cause for concern. China’s military intimidation tactics, while losing effectiveness with increased frequency, still pose a threat to peace and stability in the region. It is essential for all parties involved to work towards de-escalation and peaceful resolutions to avoid any potential conflict.
